Economic Indicators

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To enhance the Detroit Regional Chamber’s robust Data and Research portfolio that includes the annual State of the Region, the State of Education and Talent, and Michigan is Automobility, the Chamber also provides timely updates on key economic metrics throughout the year with the Monthly Economic Indicator and quarterly Economic Indicator Update.

Together, these updates offer a holistic view of the Detroit Region’s challenges and successes in areas such as business growth, employment, innovation, and consumer trends, to help leaders make strategic decisions in a changing economic environment.

The data below is up-to-date with the latest available information as of Oct. 24, 2025. Some updates are pending due to the suspension of government services impacting sources like the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistic.

Expand for Monthly Economic Indicator Data

U.S. Real Gross Domestic Product

The U.S. Economy Grew in Q2 2025

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 3.8 percent in the second quarter of 2025 (April, May, and June), according to the third estimate released by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the first quarter, real GDP decreased 0.6 percent (revised). The increase in real GDP in the second quarter primarily reflected a decrease in imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, and an increase in consumer spending. These movements were partly offset by decreases in investment and exports. Read the full BEA report.

The GDP is measured as the total market value of the goods and services produced within a specific geography during a given time period. Gross domestic product is a key indicator of the general health of the economy and its performance, with increases indicative of economic growth.

Chamber Perspective

Chamber Perspective Economic Indicators

U.S. Economy Grew in Second Quarter of 2025, But Progress is Complicated by Trade Policies

  • The U.S. economy grew by 3.8% in the second quarter of 2025, a shift from the previous quarter when GDP contracted at a rate of 0.6%. The GDP increase was reflected in a decrease in imports, which is a subtraction in GDP calculation, and an increase in consumer spending. In the first quarter of 2025, businesses tried to get ahead of the administration’s trade policies and increased imports, and in the second quarter, businesses have dialed back on imports, instead drawing from their existing inventories. This shift is impacting the overall GDP measure.

 Federal Reserve Cutting Rates

  • The Federal Reserve has announced its second rate cut of the year, reducing its benchmark interest rate by 0.25 percentage points to a target range of 3.75% to 4.00%. Despite this move, inflation continues to exceed the Fed’s 2% target, with the Consumer Price Index rising to 3.0% in September.

Regional Labor Market Conditions Remain Steady

  • Labor market conditions across the Detroit Region remain generally strong. In August, the Detroit Region’s unemployment rate declined to 4.6%. However, the labor force contracted by 7,000 workers since July, suggesting early signs of a labor market slowdown despite stable unemployment levels.

New Business Applications

increased 7% in Q2 2025.

New Business Applications

Consumer Sentiment

decreased to 51.0 in November 2025

Consumer Sentiment

Consumer Price Index

rose to an annual rate of 3.0% in September 2025

Consumer Price Index

Michigan and US Indicators

Monthly Unemployment Rate

Regional’s Unemployment Rate Decreases in August 

The Detroit-Warren-Dearborn Metropolitan Statistical Area’s (MSA) seasonally adjusted unemployment rate fell by two-tenths of a percentage point to 4.6% during August. Employment and unemployment in the Detroit MSA each fell by 3,000 over the month. The Detroit metro area labor force was reduced by 7,000 since July.



Total Employment

Employment Levels Slightly Up From Previous Year 

Nonfarm employment in the Detroit Region reached 2,059,700 in August 2025, marking a 0.06% increase from the previous year.

Job Postings

Job Postings Down in September 2025

In September 2025, total job postings in the Region reached 94,000—marking a 2.3% decrease year-over-year. Registered nurses have emerged as the most in-demand occupation in 2025 so far, with over 24,000 postings recorded through September.

 

U.S. Real Gross Domestic Product

The U.S. Economy Grew in Q2 2025

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 3.8 percent in the second quarter of 2025 (April, May, and June), according to the third estimate released by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the first quarter, real GDP decreased 0.6 percent (revised). The increase in real GDP in the second quarter primarily reflected a decrease in imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, and an increase in consumer spending. These movements were partly offset by decreases in investment and exports. Read the full BEA report.

The GDP is measured as the total market value of the goods and services produced within a specific geography during a given time period. Gross domestic product is a key indicator of the general health of the economy and its performance, with increases indicative of economic growth.

Consumer Price Index

Inflation Increased in September 2025

In September, the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers rose 0.3 percent, seasonally adjusted, and rose 3.0 percent over the last 12 months, not seasonally adjusted. The index for all items less food and energy increased 0.2 percent in September (SA); up 3.0 percent over the year (NSA).  Read the full report.

 

Consumer Sentiment

Consumer Sentiment Fell in November 2025

The University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers, consumer sentiment registered at 51.0 in November 2025. According to Surveys of Consumers director, Joanne Hsu,  consumer sentiment decreased 4.9% month-over-month. After the federal shutdown ended, sentiment lifted slightly from its mid-month reading. However, consumers remain frustrated about the persistence of high prices and weakening incomes. Read the full report. 

New Business Applications

Michigan’s New Business Applications Move Higher in Q2 2025

In the second quarter of 2025, seasonally adjusted new business applications rose by 7% from the previous quarter, reaching a total of 34,794. Although this marks a decline from the exceptional highs seen during the pandemic, application numbers continue to hold strong compared to pre-pandemic benchmarks.

U.S. Manufacturing PMI®

Economic Activity in the Manufacturing Sector Contracted in September for the Seven Consecutive Month

The Manufacturing PMI® registered at 49.1% in September, a 0.4 percentage point higher compared to the 48.7 percent reported in August according to the Institute for Supply Management® (ISM®).  

ISM® states a reading above 50% shows that the manufacturing economy is generally expanding; below 50% indicates that it is generally contracting. The index is based on a monthly survey of supply chain managers and measures general direction of economic trends in manufacturing and other sectors.

Automotive Economic Indicators

Annual U.S. Light Vehicle Sales (SAAR)

New-Vehicle Sales Pace (SAAR) Maintain Strong Pace in August 

The new-vehicle sales pace in August was above 16 million for the second straight month and up from last year’s 15.1 million level. According to Cox Automotive, electric vehicle (EV) sales are expected to push new-vehicle sales higher in August as consumers take advantage of soon-to-expire federal tax credit.

 

 

Monthly U.S. Light Vehicle Sales

Vehicle Sales Increased in August 

Consumer demand for new vehicles remains steady with vehicle sales totaling to 1.46 million in August 2025, an increase of 5% from the previous month.

U.S. Automotive Production

U.S. Auto Production Decreased by 15% in August 

In August 2025, U.S. auto production amounted to 99,500 units, a decrease of almost 15% year-over-year.

Michigan Vehicle Production

Michigan Vehicle Production Increased in August

Michigan motor vehicle production increased in August to 174,692 units, 26.0 percent higher than July’s production, and 10.7 percent lower than its year ago level. Nationally, motor vehicle production also increased in August to 950,060 total units, or 23.8 percent higher than the prior month, but below its year ago level by 4.0 percent. From July to August, Michigan’s car production increased from 5,597 units to 5,699, while the State’s truck production increased from 133,086 units to 168,993.

Automotive Manufacturing Employment

Vehicle Manufacturing Employment Down in August 2025

Michigan’s automotive manufacturing employment totaled 160,600 in August 2025, down 4% year-over-year.