Economic Indicators

U.S. Economy Grew in Q4 2025 but Fell Short of Expectations Due to Weaker Consumer Spending and the Government Shutdown

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 1.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2025 (October, November, and December), according to the advance estimate released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the third quarter, real GDP increased 4.4 percent. The contributors to the increase in real GDP in the fourth quarter were increases in consumer spending and investment. These movements were partly offset by decreases in government spending and exports. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, decreased. Read the full BEA report.

The GDP is measured as the total market value of the goods and services produced within a specific geography during a given time period. Gross domestic product is a key indicator of the general health of the economy and its performance, with increases indicative of economic growth.

Michigan and Detroit Region’s Unemployment Rate Remains Stable 

Michigan and Detroit MSA’s seasonally adjusted unemployment rate ended the year at 5%. Both rates were 0.6 percentage points above the national rate in December 2025.

Employment Levels Slightly Up in December 2025 

Nonfarm employment in the Detroit Region reached 2,073,500 in December 2025. In 2025, employment in Detroit Region increases by 0.5% compared to the previous year.

Job Postings Reach Lowest-Level in 10-Years in December 2025

In December 2025, total job postings in the Region reached 81,600—marking a 9% decrease more the previous month. Registered nurses have emerged as the most in-demand occupation in 2025 so far, with over 28,000 postings recorded through 2025.

U.S. Economy Grew in Q4 2025 but Fell Short of Expectations Due to Weaker Consumer Spending and the Government Shutdown

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 1.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2025 (October, November, and December), according to the advance estimate released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the third quarter, real GDP increased 4.4 percent. The contributors to the increase in real GDP in the fourth quarter were increases in consumer spending and investment. These movements were partly offset by decreases in government spending and exports. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, decreased. Read the full BEA report.

The GDP is measured as the total market value of the goods and services produced within a specific geography during a given time period. Gross domestic product is a key indicator of the general health of the economy and its performance, with increases indicative of economic growth.

Inflation Slowed to 2.4% in January 2026

In January, the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers rose 2.4% over the last 12 months, not seasonally adjusted. The index for all items less food and energy increased 2.5 %over the year (NSA). Read the full report.

Consumer Sentiment Hardly Changed in February, Consumers Worried About High Prices 

Consumer sentiment stagnated this month with very little change, just 0.2 index points higher to 56.6 compared to  January. All index components posted insignificant movements this month; overall, consumers do not perceive any material differences in the economy from last month. About 46% of consumers spontaneously mentioned high prices eroding their personal finances; readings have exceeded 40% for seven months in a row. Sentiment is about 13% below a year ago and 21% below January 2025. That said, views vary considerably across the population. Read the full report. 

Michigan’s New Business Applications Increased 12.7% in 2025 

In 2025, new business applications rose by 12.7% compared to 2024, reaching a total of 152,800. This represents an increase of more than 17,000 applications from the previous year.

Economic Activity in the Manufacturing Sector Expands for the First Time in 12 Months

The U.S. manufacturing sector expanded in January for first time in 12 months. “The Manufacturing PMI® registered 52.6 percent in January, a 4.7 percentage point increase compared to the 47.9 percent recorded in December.

ISM® states a reading above 50% shows that the manufacturing economy is generally expanding; below 50% indicates that it is generally contracting. The index is based on a monthly survey of supply chain managers and measures general direction of economic trends in manufacturing and other sectors.