The Detroit News
May 12, 2026
Melissa Nann Burke
Republican Mike Rogers holds a narrow 2-percentage-point lead in head-to-head matchups against Democrats Haley Stevens and Mallory McMorrow, representing a statistical dead heat in a new statewide survey of 600 likely Michigan voters.
In hypothetical matchups, Rogers got 43.8% support to Stevens’ 41.5%, while Rogers got 42.8% to McMorrow’s 40.7% ― both results falling within the survey’s margin of error of plus-minus 4 percentage points.
Rogers held a wider lead of nearly 5 percentage points when facing physician Abdul El-Sayed of Ann Arbor, 44.7% to 39.8%.
The poll of 600 likely voters in the Michigan general election was commissioned by the Detroit Regional Chamber and conducted April 28 to May 1 by the Lansing-based Glengariff Group. It was conducted separately from another poll the Detroit chamber commissioned in mid-April, which surveyed Democratic primary voters on their preferences in the Stevens-McMorrow-El-Sayed contest.
In the latest poll, the hypothetical match-ups between Rogers and Stevens and Rogers and McMorrow both tightened to ties among voters who described themselves as “definite” voters in the November general election. Rogers tied Stevens 44% to 44%, and he tied McMorrow 43% to 43%, while Rogers still led El-Sayed among definite voters, 45% to nearly 42%, according to the poll.